Russia’s moves before Assad’s fall: Safe exit offered to avoid conflict

Published December 9th, 2024 - 07:08 GMT
Al-Assad and Putin in Russia
TOPSHOT - In this pool photograph distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik on July 25, 2024, Russia's President Vladimir Putin (R) shakes hands with Syria's President Bashar al-Assad during their meeting at the Kremlin in Moscow on July 24, 2024. (Photo by Valery SHARIFULIN / POOL / AFP)

ALBAWABA - Russia reportedly encouraged President Bashar al-Assad to take immediate action as tensions in Syria increased, suggesting a political initiative to engage with the opposition and prevent a possible military operation known as "Deterring Aggression." 

Moscow stressed the gravity of the situation and cautioned Assad against entangling the nation in a destructive sectarian war.

A consultant close to Russian policymakers, Rami Al-Shaer, said Moscow had comprehensive intelligence on the scope and goals of the upcoming strike. In order to stop additional destabilization, this spurred immediate action. Al-Shaer told Asharq Al-Awsat, "Russia acted swiftly to arrange a safe exit for Assad and had precise information about the planned offensive." Moscow aimed to prevent Syria from degenerating into a devastating civil war, he continued.

Russia conducted intensive diplomacy two days prior to the operation, informing Syrian authorities about the planned attack through specialist channels. According to Al-Shaer, Moscow alerted Damascus to impending opposition faction attacks on Aleppo and other cities.

attempts to mediate through Iranian and Turkish middlemen in an effort to stop the offensive and guide the parties toward political discussion. Al-Shaer pointed out that these efforts, however, failed. "The factions were determined to launch their operation, and the decision to proceed with the attack had already been made," he stated.

According to insiders, the suggested evacuation strategy was an attempt to pacify the area amid escalating tensions, underscoring Moscow's efforts to stop additional killing.

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